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Heartland Ag Edge
Grain Markets Slide Ahead of USDA Acreage Report
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Grain Markets Slide Ahead of USDA Acreage Report

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Market Overview

Grain futures came under heavy pressure as traders continued liquidating positions ahead of Monday’s USDA June Acreage and Grain Stocks Report, widely considered the most important crop report of the year.

Although USDA refers to Monday’s acreage estimates as the “final” numbers, history suggests otherwise. Last year’s acreage estimates were revised four separate times between June and January, leaving many traders skeptical of calling them final.

At the same time, favorable U.S. weather forecasts continue to weigh on prices. Much of the Midwest remains well-watered, with temperatures expected to climb into the 90s for several days before cooling back into the 80s—conditions many view as nearly ideal for crop development.


🌍 Europe Facing Heat Stress

While U.S. crops are benefiting from favorable weather, Europe is telling a different story.

  • France continues to experience extreme heat.

  • Germany, Poland, and parts of Ukraine are becoming increasingly hot and dry.

  • Wheat harvest is approaching, with concerns focused on both yield and test weights.

  • European corn has become an even bigger concern than wheat.

European corn futures have rallied more than 70 cents per bushel over the past two weeks, although that strength has not translated into U.S. corn prices.

Spain and Portugal have already been importing U.S. corn this year, and additional demand could develop later this fall, but traders remain focused on U.S. weather and tomorrow’s USDA report.


🌽 Corn Market

Corn futures remained under heavy selling pressure as traders priced in nearly ideal growing conditions.

July Corn

  • Down 13¾ cents

  • Closed at $3.99

September Corn

  • Down 14¾ cents

  • Closed at $4.07

December Corn

  • Down 14¼ cents

  • Closed at $4.27¼

The market is currently pricing in an excellent growing season with very little room for weather-related problems later this summer.


🌱 Soybeans

Soybeans also moved sharply lower.

July Soybeans

  • Down 19¼ cents

  • Closed at $11.07

November Soybeans

  • Down 19 cents

  • Closed at $11.37¼

December Soybean Meal

  • Down $2.30/ton

  • Closed at $302.20

December Soybean Oil

  • Down 51 points

  • Closed at 66.58

Soybean oil weakened despite strength in the crude oil market.

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