Is the Iran/US war ending, or will Iran pull a “Ukraine” in late negotiations and always want more than what was agreed upon?

May 6, 2026

You have heard the news about a possible end to the Iranian/US war to end their nuclear ambitions, at around 2:30 a.m. CT, energies collapsed, after initially weakening earlier Tuesday evening as Pres. Trump put a pause to any military action in lieu of a hastily put-together 12-point plan. This had energy collapsing, dragging the grains with it (with a lack of buy orders beneath the grain trade in a thin night market session), while stock indexes and metals exploded in value. By mid-morning, these vicious trends shifted a bit, as Pres. Trump did state that we do not have a plan; we have an opportunity to bring things to an end.

Even though it is optimistic that this conflict could be coming to an end, the prospect of Iran doing a “Ukraine”, always changing its mind towards the end of a piece deal, could still be the threat that could keep the Strait of Hormuz from being freely open through May, is still a possibility. China has entered the conversation and is encouraging both sides to quickly advance a peace accord here and reach a potential deal.